TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Passion UAof Passion UA, Sinners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sinners40c17,425$7,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,037.972,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Passion UA59c16,584$9,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,846.6250054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sinners40c9,454$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.5723145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Passion UA61c7,419$4,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.48748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Sinners39c5,507$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.7937346.4%173 W · 200 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sinners31c4,628$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.752,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Passion UA55c2,667$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.6426438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Passion UA46c2,607$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.849343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Sinners56c2,587$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.4923653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c66…c204backed Sinners39c2,397$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Passion UA52c2,264$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.627454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Sinners58c1,813$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.893842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Passion UA59c1,534$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.932,60352.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sinners48c1,478$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.71,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Sinners29c1,380$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7428657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Passion UA52c1,320$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.1645646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sinners1c1,241$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4143544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Sinners29c1,190$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Passion UA67c1,182$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.6214839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sinners65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.981,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA61c972.29$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.156,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA56c925.31$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.493,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA56c882.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.3965250.5%329 W · 323 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Sinners21c857.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0640140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners40c843.62$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.974,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sinners40c830$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.191,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners61c821.52$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.115,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Passion UA42c780.98$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4538748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Passion UA41c758.17$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.51,03739.8%413 W · 624 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Passion UA51c721.55$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners43c704$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.433,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda1a…3407backed Sinners47c660$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.228960.6%175 W · 114 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Passion UA69c607.69$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4315743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf52e…54fcbacked Passion UA51c589.37$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.795532.7%18 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Sinners26c566.03$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4862350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked Passion UA46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9914044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Sinners54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9947047.4%223 W · 247 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sinners39c471.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.882,77037.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L-139.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Passion UA70c462.17$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.653033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Passion UA44c457.05$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.0538052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb845…ca23backed Sinners18c416.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Passion UA53c367.21$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.991,48458%861 W · 623 L+66.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…c1c3backed Passion UA53c362.04$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.365574.5%41 W · 14 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Sinners29c330$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.514037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Sinners59c328.1$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2141040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Passion UA47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked Sinners36c302.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Passion UA58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.421,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Passion UA52c292.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.984652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Sinners46c289.79$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349948.5%48 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Passion UA63c286.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.692231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Passion UA53c284.35$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Sinners33c260.43$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.294,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked Passion UA80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA64c246.02$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.077,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Passion UA58c238.43$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1411863.6%75 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdfa…ebfcbacked Sinners35c223.28$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Passion UA44c222$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.3250043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Passion UA45c219.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3153034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Sinners40c216.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6937441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04c…55d3backed Passion UA64c212$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.323638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Sinners38c209.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2385351.7%441 W · 412 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Sinners44c206.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2519329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Sinners41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Sinners41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8133241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Sinners51c195.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Passion UA55c181.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0820244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Passion UA60c175$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7027548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Passion UA43c172.2$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.732746.5%152 W · 175 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.54,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Sinners17c143.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.731738.8%123 W · 194 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sinners41c142.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.292,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Sinners40c142$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3157935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Passion UA65c137.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2430154.2%163 W · 138 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Sinners38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1485…f4b2backed Passion UA54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.633458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9233…b93abacked Passion UA53c127$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.693458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Passion UA79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5822761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed Passion UA47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.613333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sinners58c111.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.111,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Passion UA64c105.11$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.111,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sinners35c103.36$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.341,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Passion UA53c101.89$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.899631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sinners37c101.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.082,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Passion UA54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4644839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Sinners43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4345240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Sinners43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4318545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Passion UA39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6126245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Passion UA58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.911,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Sinners35c99.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3521053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae65…70debacked Passion UA50c99.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.315940.7%24 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Passion UA55c96.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.274,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Passion UA52c94.23$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2318748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Passion UA76c93.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7238552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Passion UA63c88.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8926564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Passion UA50c80.93$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.161,54633.8%523 W · 1,023 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed Sinners62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Passion UA52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3621952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Passion UA63c72.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7335466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Passion UA51c72.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.39061.1%55 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.