CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c33a2ad048d46e4f51bfec8164c0be3dd53b79f0f2eda28c331c041eb4a9710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Sinners, Passion UA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Passion UA | 62c | 4,805$2,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.27 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed Sinners | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Sinners | 37c | 2,038$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.55 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Passion UA | 64c | 1,782$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.21 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Sinners | 36c | 1,119$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Sinners | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Passion UA | 62c | 1,079$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sinners | 37c | 990.53$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Passion UA | 64c | 875.44$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Passion UA | 63c | 777$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.49 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Sinners | 36c | 743.62$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.42 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Passion UA | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Sinners | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked Sinners | 30c | 361.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Sinners | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Sinners | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Sinners | 38c | 223.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Passion UA | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Passion UA | 71c | 190.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Sinners | 38c | 160$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sinners | 36c | 142.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Sinners | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Passion UA | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Passion UA | 68c | 70.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Passion UA | 78c | 50.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Sinners | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Passion UA | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea2…caa2backed Sinners | 38c | 44.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f72…a00cbacked Sinners | 32c | 36.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Passion UA | 68c | 36.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2b…70efbacked Passion UA | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Passion UA | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Passion UA | 63c | 31.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Sinners | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Sinners | 40c | 27.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Passion UA | 74c | 19.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Passion UA | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Passion UA | 72c | 15.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.