CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c99df3d9d7861efa34ff15a43563bdd2c134b3d11b8409a47c694ec3d582af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 47c | 513$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.89 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 53c | 483.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 53c | 377.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 48c | 332.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 53c | 304.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 146.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Over | 47c | 93.57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Over | 47c | 85.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 80.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 45c | 63.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 63c | 58.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 50c | 39.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 28.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 51c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Over | 64c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Map Handicap: SIN (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)Passion UA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.