Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebaec0944d428c355a42ddd89cab548057f2fa605eaceb358595794af9fab530
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof T1, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked T1 | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked T1 | 40c | 3,643$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.65 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 3,578$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.28 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,536$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.72 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked T1 | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,672$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.97 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb52…14dbbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 1,485$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Liquid | 27c | 1,396$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.05 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,350$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.49 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked T1 | 58c | 1,347$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.81 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 33c | 944.49$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.37 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed T1 | 56c | 859.74$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.74 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed T1 | 61c | 821.14$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed T1 | 55c | 698.43$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.59 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked T1 | 71c | 679.97$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed T1 | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 566$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.15 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 550$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.21 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked T1 | 57c | 510.84$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked T1 | 58c | 500.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.01 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 468.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 50c | 457.74$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 414.1$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.1 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 33c | 380$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.65 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 366.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.07 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Team Liquid | 16c | 365.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.29 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked T1 | 58c | 343.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Team Liquid | 30c | 335.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 321.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed T1 | 61c | 319.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 316$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed T1 | 60c | 275$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…d1b1backed T1 | 76c | 263.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked T1 | 39c | 254$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Team Liquid | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 56c | 218.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Liquid | 40c | 212.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked T1 | 65c | 160$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed T1 | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6c…b8eabacked Team Liquid | 26c | 96.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked T1 | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed Team Liquid | 46c | 93.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d70…0593backed Team Liquid | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked T1 | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked T1 | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked T1 | 65c | 78.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 21c | 78.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Team Liquid | 44c | 66.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 60.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked T1 | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed T1 | 58c | 58.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…8c94backed T1 | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49df…f885backed Team Liquid | 41c | 52.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed T1 | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 321 | 52.6%169 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…f3ccbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 47.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Team Liquid | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea59…0d07backed T1 | 67c | 40.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…6c27backed T1 | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed T1 | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed T1 | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed T1 | 57c | 25.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…4c4cbacked T1 | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed T1 | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked T1 | 73c | 15.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.