TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof T1, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,449 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4713…4d21backed T132c3,624$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.7481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Team Liquid79c3,151$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid65c2,852$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.5465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked T137c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked T114c1,043$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed T124c885.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3131634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed T118c867.56$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.161,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid75c776.73$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Team Liquid66c601.08$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.242759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid59c595.2$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed T134c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked T129c263$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.819042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa390…c7d9backed T139c257.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007920.3%16 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed Team Liquid44c247.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.093834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T118c236.5$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.571,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x429f…7f2dbacked T114c222.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Team Liquid65c214.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1c…fc18backed T154c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Team Liquid51c195.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0510661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T138c195$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5198…e647backed T144c141.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Team Liquid75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.336245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed T143c119.46$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7266438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55f8…ac78backed T122c110$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Team Liquid46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78254.9%45 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Team Liquid54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed T163c99.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6342840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid41c80.91$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9161035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed T154c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.82759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed T156c71.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9928541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed T152c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.22751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbe…cec2backed T146c55.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.362347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea59…0d07backed T157c53.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed T126c50.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9457517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Team Liquid42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.234356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked T139c38.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9917039.4%67 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Team Liquid45c38.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.958451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked Team Liquid49c30.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.918151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Team Liquid46c28$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Team Liquid54c22.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2212552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422d…8927backed Team Liquid60c21.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49df…f885backed Team Liquid47c21.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff6a…881cbacked T153c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked T152c19.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa32a…2aefbacked Team Liquid63c16.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Liquid80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0463652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.