Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d76b505dc977e5c64cc458b272beba00978f5fa2e07466906d4e8a0a82d9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, MODUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MODUS | 57c | 2,779$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.47 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS | 33c | 2,250$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Inner Circle | 34c | 1,769$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +149%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS | 60c | 1,515$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed MODUS | 11c | 1,454$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MODUS | 35c | 1,435$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.15 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Inner Circle | 39c | 1,233$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 1,165$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.35 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS | 38c | 1,148$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.37 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 1,020$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.19 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed MODUS | 2c | 968.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Inner Circle | 41c | 939.68$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.25 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed MODUS | 34c | 825.08$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS | 43c | 784.6$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.92 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed MODUS | 48c | 758.47$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.78 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Inner Circle | 60c | 754.9$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.26 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Inner Circle | 75c | 726.22$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.9 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MODUS | 62c | 722.17$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Inner Circle | 64c | 705.69$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Inner Circle | 59c | 698.56$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.41 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Inner Circle | 62c | 679.22$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MODUS | 9c | 649.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle | 52c | 630.72$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.7 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ef…840bbacked MODUS | 41c | 598.81$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Inner Circle | 65c | 581.38$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MODUS | 48c | 549.58$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.15 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MODUS | 37c | 530.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 528.27$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MODUS | 57c | 527.9$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked MODUS | 37c | 525.88$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Inner Circle | 56c | 513.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.86 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1198…3ba5backed Inner Circle | 67c | 508.87$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed MODUS | 35c | 506$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked MODUS | 38c | 504.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked MODUS | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Inner Circle | 64c | 499.72$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.9 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MODUS | 34c | 499.26$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed MODUS | 36c | 497.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.06 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS | 44c | 481.14$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.16 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MODUS | 38c | 467.95$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…9b7dbacked Inner Circle | 64c | 455.93$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Inner Circle | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Inner Circle | 24c | 398.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.22 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 391.6$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MODUS | 50c | 385.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed MODUS | 46c | 377.34$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.92 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Inner Circle | 65c | 364.09$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MODUS | 53c | 347.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle | 61c | 341.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Inner Circle | 65c | 302.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 45c | 298.03$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS | 40c | 289.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 288.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MODUS | 57c | 286.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…148dbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 277.49$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af4…e516backed MODUS | 70c | 273.77$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS | 59c | 269.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed MODUS | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Inner Circle | 49c | 250.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.71 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked MODUS | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MODUS | 39c | 248.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Inner Circle | 61c | 239.62$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed MODUS | 40c | 226.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MODUS | 42c | 222.16$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MODUS | 36c | 217.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Inner Circle | 65c | 210.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked MODUS | 34c | 205.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 203.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed MODUS | 38c | 200.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MODUS | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Inner Circle | 59c | 197.6$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed MODUS | 36c | 194.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 53c | 190.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed MODUS | 66c | 190.04$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.43 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed MODUS | 39c | 175.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 51c | 174.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Inner Circle | 57c | 159.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MODUS | 48c | 153.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed Inner Circle | 48c | 152.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ac…47afbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Inner Circle | 66c | 148.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…073dbacked MODUS | 42c | 147.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Inner Circle | 63c | 146.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.37 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle | 54c | 140.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked MODUS | 61c | 136.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Inner Circle | 65c | 136.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MODUS | 48c | 131$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Inner Circle | 68c | 129.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked MODUS | 37c | 128.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle | 58c | 127.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked MODUS | 35c | 125.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MODUS | 48c | 123.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…3117backed Inner Circle | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 112.31$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MODUS | 74c | 106.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Inner Circle | 60c | 105.19$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS | 36c | 104.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MODUS | 63c | 103$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.38 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed MODUS | 36c | 102.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed MODUS | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
- Game Handicap: IC (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)MODUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.