TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circleof Inner Circle, MODUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,474 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2924…0f31backed MODUS57c2,779$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.4747046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS33c2,250$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Inner Circle34c1,769$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS60c1,515$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.362,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc775…6b22backed MODUS11c1,454$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked MODUS35c1,435$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.1523653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Inner Circle39c1,233$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Inner Circle62c1,165$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3516945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS38c1,148$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3795342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Inner Circle63c1,020$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1912630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed MODUS2c968.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eae…d46dbacked Inner Circle41c939.68$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.254537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed MODUS34c825.08$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8813228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MODUS43c784.6$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.921,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed MODUS48c758.47$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.789444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Inner Circle60c754.9$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.2645061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Inner Circle75c726.22$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MODUS62c722.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.7851751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Inner Circle64c705.69$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5829347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Inner Circle59c698.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4118550.8%94 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Inner Circle62c679.22$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.018946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed MODUS9c649.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle52c630.72$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.72,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked MODUS41c598.81$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2459058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked Inner Circle65c581.38$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS48c549.58$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.151,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked MODUS37c530.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1413854.3%75 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle47c528.27$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3629240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked MODUS57c527.9$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.936759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked MODUS37c525.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3914747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Inner Circle56c513.95$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.8620452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1198…3ba5backed Inner Circle67c508.87$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed MODUS35c506$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3210937.6%41 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked MODUS38c504.91$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.583855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked MODUS60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Inner Circle64c499.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.934860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked MODUS34c499.26$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.7756243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed MODUS36c497.37$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0612136.4%44 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MODUS44c481.14$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.161,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MODUS38c467.95$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4277256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8c…9b7dbacked Inner Circle64c455.93$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.35540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…ea40backed Inner Circle30c399.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.993925.6%10 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Inner Circle24c398.66$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2236654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Inner Circle65c391.6$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0614058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed MODUS50c385.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4896245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9120…ae70backed MODUS46c377.34$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9221062.4%131 W · 79 L+0.8wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Inner Circle65c364.09$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.431040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed MODUS53c347.8$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9236138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle61c341.86$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3151550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Inner Circle65c302.68$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.924341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle45c298.03$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0170052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MODUS40c289.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9967043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Inner Circle36c288.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6318952.9%100 W · 89 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MODUS57c286.19$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2143049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x688e…148dbacked Inner Circle62c277.49$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.943154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af4…e516backed MODUS70c273.77$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.642360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS59c269.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.311,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed MODUS36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.168420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Inner Circle49c250.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7120939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked MODUS40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed MODUS39c248.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3346049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Inner Circle61c239.62$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4547650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed MODUS40c226.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4229466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked MODUS42c222.16$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked MODUS36c217.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4132148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Inner Circle65c210.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6210961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked MODUS34c205.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6114762.6%92 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ebc…e34bbacked Inner Circle48c203.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed MODUS38c200.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.848352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MODUS39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7816243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Inner Circle59c197.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0124251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed MODUS36c194.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle53c190.29$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.471,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed MODUS66c190.04$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4315064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed MODUS39c175.52$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS51c174.48$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.131,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Inner Circle57c159.21$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.911,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MODUS48c153.85$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e71…f347backed Inner Circle48c152.63$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.781330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ac…47afbacked Inner Circle58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Inner Circle66c148.45$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4719162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0d8…073dbacked MODUS42c147.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Inner Circle63c146.95$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3712250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle54c140.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4873554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked MODUS61c136.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4620151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Inner Circle65c136.1$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6310136.6%37 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked MODUS48c131$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4235032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Inner Circle68c129.02$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked MODUS37c128.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Inner Circle58c127.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x973a…52eabacked MODUS35c125.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.915246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MODUS48c123.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2878516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e88…3117backed Inner Circle41c117.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Inner Circle60c112.31$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9210156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MODUS74c106.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5646451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Inner Circle60c105.19$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.731450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked MODUS36c104.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.591356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed MODUS63c103$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3874549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed MODUS36c102.58$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9316437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed MODUS35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359339.8%37 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.