Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Utah Valley Wolverines
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2967dbbf5804bc9e884e6e637696000620c0758ec32fce7dc231f474729a88b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Valley Wolverinesof Abilene Christian Wildcats, Utah Valley Wolverines
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 9c | 9,102$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.18 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 1,864$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.92 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 76c | 1,560$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.14 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 48c | 1,321$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 31c | 1,173$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 59c | 1,115$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.46 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 11c | 802.71$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 25c | 795.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 29c | 757.11$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 48c | 654.68$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 58c | 577.77$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 59c | 508.41$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 10c | 350$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 11c | 323.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 6c | 300.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 23c | 260.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 60c | 213.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 37c | 203.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 14c | 177.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 53c | 149.06$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 9c | 148.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 132.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 120.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 13c | 102.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…1cc7backed Abilene Christian Wildcats | 47c | 101.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…c67cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 101.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 57c | 99.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 80c | 67.38$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…376abacked Abilene Christian Wildcats | 23c | 50.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 62c | 43.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ac…9b05backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 60c | 31.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 56c | 20.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 69c | 14.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 77c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.