Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3641cd58a2bf5114232ae78b827bd45fab434230d0df94a4c7d8c6b9e979144c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 35c | 7,194$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.31 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 69c | 1,772$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.09 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 65c | 1,461$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.95 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 63c | 985.56$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.9 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 76c | 904.34$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 60c | 614.56$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.74 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…1153backed Over | 24c | 585.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Under | 66c | 424.63$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Under | 68c | 328.2$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 63c | 315$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 23c | 290.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 23c | 285.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 77c | 202.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 68c | 160.63$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.23 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 35c | 121.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 35c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 38c | 104.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 104.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Under | 66c | 103.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed Under | 65c | 83.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Over | 43c | 69.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 65c | 61.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 63c | 52.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 52c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 60c | 26.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)Solary won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.