Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3933d17c112f0e36b6a4c036e79919bdc6f245068c80de5bcce2b8164c4d512d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solaryof Team Vitality, Solary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Solary | 42c | 25,147$10,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,592.26 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Solary | 42c | 21,551$9,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,439.82 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Team Vitality | 58c | 12,534$7,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,269.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Solary | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,959.97 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Solary | 37c | 6,778$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.32 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Team Vitality | 59c | 6,517$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.21 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 4,921$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 4,611$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.76 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 3,555$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.9 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Team Vitality | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 3,483$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.98 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Vitality | 65c | 3,261$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.81 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 3,174$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.16 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 2,485$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.3 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Solary | 39c | 2,258$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.44 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Vitality | 58c | 2,222$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Vitality | 65c | 2,044$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.58 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Team Vitality | 61c | 2,039$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.58 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Team Vitality | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Vitality | 59c | 1,664$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.08 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Team Vitality | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 1,379$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Team Vitality | 58c | 1,321$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Team Vitality | 58c | 1,273$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Team Vitality | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Vitality | 57c | 1,081$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.02 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 67c | 887.98$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.94 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Team Vitality | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…8c79backed Team Vitality | 58c | 750.88$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa40…9e37backed Team Vitality | 60c | 708.17$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.9 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Solary | 43c | 596.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.05 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Solary | 41c | 561.34$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.19 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Team Vitality | 57c | 548.95$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.76 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed Team Vitality | 68c | 505.9$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Vitality | 59c | 495.97$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team Vitality | 59c | 480$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Solary | 43c | 461.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.67 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Solary | 44c | 450$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.5 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Vitality | 57c | 449.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…8979backed Solary | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.87 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Solary | 35c | 278.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team Vitality | 56c | 270.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 258.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 231.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Solary | 43c | 230.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…d742backed Team Vitality | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Vitality | 58c | 208.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.92 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Team Vitality | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Team Vitality | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Vitality | 61c | 185.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Team Vitality | 57c | 157.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Vitality | 63c | 144.06$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Team Vitality | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Solary | 71c | 112.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Solary | 43c | 97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Solary | 42c | 93.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Team Vitality | 57c | 69.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Solary | 62c | 60.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Vitality | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Team Vitality | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…449abacked Team Vitality | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Solary | 39c | 49.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 48.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Solary | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Team Vitality | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Solary | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2941…7850backed Team Vitality | 58c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Team Vitality | 61c | 26.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed Team Vitality | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked Team Vitality | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Team Vitality | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Team Vitality | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Team Vitality | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Vitality | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 2 WinnerSolary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.