Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6af2c239da5963df8ef8445e1fe766925344d9db27a6f1435f5db945b371c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Under | 68c | 5,571$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.87 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 32c | 4,796$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.72 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Over | 29c | 2,410$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.29 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Under | 73c | 1,427$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 32c | 1,113$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.21 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 27c | 618.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 579.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 69c | 500.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.61 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 65c | 474.45$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 26c | 406.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Under | 74c | 393.76$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 24c | 391.74$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 30c | 374.16$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Under | 58c | 308.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 89 | 67.4%60 W · 29 L | +13.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 41c | 299.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Under | 78c | 296.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 69c | 278.81$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 33c | 232.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 69c | 223.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 357 | 44.5%159 W · 198 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…7d85backed Over | 67c | 218.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Under | 67c | 175.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 31c | 171.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 69c | 156.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 300 | 46%138 W · 162 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 30c | 143.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Over | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 348 | 60.9%212 W · 136 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 72c | 132.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 47c | 124$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 70c | 107.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,168 | 66.1%772 W · 396 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 74c | 104.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 69c | 103.59$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 73c | 101.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 67c | 73.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…f4c2backed Over | 28c | 68.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 73c | 64.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Over | 58c | 50.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 170 | 67.1%114 W · 56 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Under | 68c | 45.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…a58ebacked Over | 23c | 45.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Over | 30c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Under | 72c | 41.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…2cf8backed Under | 78c | 37.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 35c | 31.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 31.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…63abbacked Under | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Under | 59c | 27.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…7579backed Under | 70c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 57c | 25.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed Under | 75c | 25.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Under | 58c | 23.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 68c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked Under | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.