Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc19f5024abd575cd6758dd7e21fe01024904054958e3d7b1719d2df0f14072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof F9 EICAR, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed F9 EICAR | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 649.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed WIP Esports | 79c | 640.21$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked WIP Esports | 73c | 519.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.8 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed F9 EICAR | 19c | 388.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed F9 EICAR | 18c | 382.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed F9 EICAR | 27c | 299.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed WIP Esports | 79c | 229.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed F9 EICAR | 26c | 205.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked F9 EICAR | 15c | 148.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed F9 EICAR | 12c | 137$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked F9 EICAR | 21c | 123.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked F9 EICAR | 23c | 116.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed F9 EICAR | 27c | 106.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked F9 EICAR | 14c | 97.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed F9 EICAR | 29c | 65.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked WIP Esports | 71c | 64.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed WIP Esports | 74c | 59.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed WIP Esports | 76c | 50.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed F9 EICAR | 28c | 48.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed WIP Esports | 72c | 40.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…48dfbacked WIP Esports | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed WIP Esports | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed WIP Esports | 64c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…2ad8backed WIP Esports | 75c | 24.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked WIP Esports | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked WIP Esports | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed WIP Esports | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.