Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a30ac0f97bdf524f9d4788fda1c1ff7e360bf4260d3a0a23fb615483e622dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof F9 EICAR, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked WIP Esports | 72c | 1,057$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F9 EICAR | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WIP Esports | 76c | 330.85$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ec1ebacked F9 EICAR | 18c | 263.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked F9 EICAR | 21c | 257.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked F9 EICAR | 22c | 225.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed F9 EICAR | 35c | 207.56$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed F9 EICAR | 12c | 151.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed F9 EICAR | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed F9 EICAR | 21c | 71.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…613ebacked WIP Esports | 69c | 30.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked WIP Esports | 76c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked WIP Esports | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonWIP Esports won
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.