Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c7423d9f0f3d93842b3a1d51404ca03e61df33708f134ee21b9517af0068cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof F9 EICAR, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F9 EICAR | 55c | 3,471$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.33 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WIP Esports | 45c | 2,048$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed F9 EICAR | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked F9 EICAR | 1c | 1,350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked F9 EICAR | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…3548backed WIP Esports | 27c | 758.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed F9 EICAR | 2c | 650$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked F9 EICAR | 45c | 427.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked F9 EICAR | 40c | 277.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WIP Esports | 68c | 248.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked WIP Esports | 52c | 230.4$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed WIP Esports | 60c | 219.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.16 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed F9 EICAR | 15c | 205$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed F9 EICAR | 41c | 179.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed WIP Esports | 60c | 178.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed F9 EICAR | 9c | 177$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed F9 EICAR | 52c | 176.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed F9 EICAR | 25c | 175$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked F9 EICAR | 39c | 158.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WIP Esports | 62c | 133.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed WIP Esports | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked F9 EICAR | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed WIP Esports | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked F9 EICAR | 49c | 59.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 52.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked F9 EICAR | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed WIP Esports | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed F9 EICAR | 54c | 34.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed WIP Esports | 55c | 33.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked WIP Esports | 57c | 32.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked WIP Esports | 53c | 28.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonWIP Esports won
- Valorant: F9 EICAR vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.