MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. SSG Landers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6bb6371a094e53598e670ab920d508a6f70b5ae2a7645d5a90c36ec757d079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof Doosan Bears, SSG Landers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 58c | 836.49$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.36 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 768.67$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.22 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed SSG Landers | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 56c | 494.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 444.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 351.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Doosan Bears | 45c | 324.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed SSG Landers | 61c | 208.13$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed SSG Landers | 59c | 202.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed SSG Landers | 61c | 172.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 154.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SSG Landers | 56c | 112.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 99.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 77c | 78.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 58c | 73.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 71.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 65.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed SSG Landers | 56c | 60.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SSG Landers | 67c | 59.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed Doosan Bears | 46c | 52.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 50.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 42.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Doosan Bears | 29c | 40.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Doosan Bears | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed SSG Landers | 56c | 34.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed SSG Landers | 59c | 33.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed SSG Landers | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Doosan Bears | 38c | 32.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SSG Landers | 64c | 28.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked SSG Landers | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked SSG Landers | 59c | 20.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.