TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Tianjin Pioneers vs. Qingdao Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Qingdao Eaglesof Tianjin Pioneers, Qingdao Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6f2…b422backed Qingdao Eagles58c13,510$7,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tianjin Pioneers38c7,944$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.8254251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Qingdao Eagles77c5,359$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.143834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tianjin Pioneers28c4,615$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.5213046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers22c2,921$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.3216828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Tianjin Pioneers32c2,901$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.4113220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tianjin Pioneers42c2,499$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.5343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd746…1b6dbacked Qingdao Eagles53c2,423$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.452568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Qingdao Eagles66c2,226$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.32846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Tianjin Pioneers42c2,113$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Tianjin Pioneers41c1,985$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.6814037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Qingdao Eagles75c1,612$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.135848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Qingdao Eagles64c1,539$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.312850%14 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tianjin Pioneers47c1,532$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.8124430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianjin Pioneers42c1,432$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.0635234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Qingdao Eagles67c1,161$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.56144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8d…fc71backed Tianjin Pioneers38c1,126$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Qingdao Eagles56c1,097$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.575151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x568e…6980backed Tianjin Pioneers43c963.08$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Qingdao Eagles62c941.97$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8228943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Tianjin Pioneers40c739.26$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.31714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Qingdao Eagles61c637.78$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Qingdao Eagles60c610.49$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Tianjin Pioneers48c609.88$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.577138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Tianjin Pioneers47c599.85$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Tianjin Pioneers34c594$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.961118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb98d…bdd4backed Qingdao Eagles62c579.73$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7833…bc6abacked Qingdao Eagles62c535.64$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Qingdao Eagles58c504.69$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.268936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ae…ce30backed Tianjin Pioneers41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9668backed Tianjin Pioneers30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+177.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Tianjin Pioneers40c440.24$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.956142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bf…81c2backed Qingdao Eagles63c422.75$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Tianjin Pioneers45c411.79$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.671540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Qingdao Eagles57c371.91$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Qingdao Eagles68c353.01$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6726544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Qingdao Eagles62c313.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.383161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0c0…2489backed Tianjin Pioneers38c289.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Tianjin Pioneers41c286.79$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.141421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Tianjin Pioneers38c265.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7926935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Tianjin Pioneers37c261$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.57933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-48.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Tianjin Pioneers43c258.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Tianjin Pioneers37c255.04$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.367462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Qingdao Eagles79c254$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.842955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Tianjin Pioneers31c253.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Tianjin Pioneers19c251.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c45…f19abacked Qingdao Eagles60c244.11$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Qingdao Eagles64c235.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.555648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…a58fbacked Tianjin Pioneers41c234.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Tianjin Pioneers42c230.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Qingdao Eagles61c225.81$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tianjin Pioneers27c211.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.222119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Tianjin Pioneers42c200.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Qingdao Eagles62c195.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x665e…7291backed Tianjin Pioneers20c195.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Tianjin Pioneers35c167.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Tianjin Pioneers23c166.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.162536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Qingdao Eagles53c160.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.482835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tianjin Pioneers40c159.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.966061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Qingdao Eagles52c156$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Tianjin Pioneers37c154.77$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.141376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+79.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Qingdao Eagles55c154.19$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.398760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Qingdao Eagles55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Tianjin Pioneers43c135.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.14131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Qingdao Eagles57c127.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1519748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f38…0364backed Tianjin Pioneers18c124.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tianjin Pioneers42c117.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8121535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Tianjin Pioneers30c113.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Qingdao Eagles67c112.43$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Tianjin Pioneers41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Qingdao Eagles55c98.93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Tianjin Pioneers39c97.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85959.3%35 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Qingdao Eagles56c95.39$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1979…c15cbacked Tianjin Pioneers42c94.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+77.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Tianjin Pioneers41c93.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.592842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Tianjin Pioneers30c92.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.622751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Tianjin Pioneers37c88.16$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.992040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Qingdao Eagles57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.754165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Tianjin Pioneers41c82.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.638544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Tianjin Pioneers41c82.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.637944.3%35 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7395…fdeebacked Qingdao Eagles62c81.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.12356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Tianjin Pioneers39c76.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Tianjin Pioneers25c76.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.935248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…04fbbacked Tianjin Pioneers15c75.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Qingdao Eagles67c74.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.688845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Qingdao Eagles61c74.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.954374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Eagles55c69.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b1…812bbacked Qingdao Eagles57c68.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Tianjin Pioneers17c67.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.733050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Tianjin Pioneers29c64.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.959551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Tianjin Pioneers37c63.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.220936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Tianjin Pioneers41c61.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.393151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x460d…9d5fbacked Tianjin Pioneers47c60.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb191…e770backed Tianjin Pioneers25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tianjin Pioneers27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Qingdao Eagles79c55.76$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.781764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Tianjin Pioneers35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Tianjin Pioneers34c52.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.656119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Tianjin Pioneers44c50.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Tianjin Pioneers42c49.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.245152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.