MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kiwoom Heroes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9899fd11f10250e091ab139620f56b36889cf00e2841e4b7b2df6a66145fcc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kiwoom Heroesof Samsung Lions, Kiwoom Heroes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 4,218$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samsung Lions | 11c | 3,072$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Samsung Lions | 56c | 2,060$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Samsung Lions | 52c | 2,054$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.75 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 747.14$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.04 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 741.7$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.27 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 731.62$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.13 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 600$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 598.95$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.64 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 549.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Samsung Lions | 55c | 529.54$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 473.96$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 446.64$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 378.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Samsung Lions | 52c | 274.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 272.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samsung Lions | 21c | 253.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 237.8$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Samsung Lions | 18c | 187.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 186.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 175.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 146.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samsung Lions | 13c | 133.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 129.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 77c | 109.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 96.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 86.17$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 78.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 77.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Samsung Lions | 23c | 72.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Samsung Lions | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 68.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 62.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 49c | 59.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Samsung Lions | 19c | 59.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Samsung Lions | 54c | 53.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samsung Lions | 23c | 53.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfa…8325backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Samsung Lions | 24c | 47.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 47.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 35.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Samsung Lions | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 30.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 29.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…fd24backed Kiwoom Heroes | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…a99fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 28.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 24.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…095cbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 24.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Kiwoom Heroes | 45c | 23.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a29…43bebacked Kiwoom Heroes | 46c | 23.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 22.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 21.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 57c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kiwoom Heroes | 64c | 15.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.