MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f89b291046f0f78a35f67e06f5a8f02d78d4fd9e27342834817926b6fa0c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Kiwoom Heroes, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 772.07$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.26 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 331.2$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…b36abacked Kia Tigers | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Kia Tigers | 62c | 322.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.49 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 138.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Kiwoom Heroes | 39c | 123.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Kia Tigers | 62c | 118.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 117.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 64.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 59.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 60c | 54.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 42c | 51.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kia Tigers | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…8c1ebacked Kia Tigers | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 44.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 42.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kia Tigers | 63c | 41.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 34.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 32.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Kia Tigers | 63c | 31.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Kia Tigers | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 22.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…b321backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 22.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…3fa9backed Kia Tigers | 64c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Kia Tigers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.