Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7dcd5c467355e9390eac431bed2fa1d1e20eaa7834e0ecb0c10895a2638461b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Hyderabadof Rajasthan Royals, Sunrisers Hyderabad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e6…3e07backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 939$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…41c9backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 910.83$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e6…671abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 52c | 472.34$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…e3b7backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 191.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 57c | 182.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 47c | 149.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 140.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…f0b0backed Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 91.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b6…48ccbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 69.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…1209backed Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 49.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0494…0cb3backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 48.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c4…fcedbacked Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…1e3bbacked Rajasthan Royals | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…0a43backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 37.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf9…8749backed Rajasthan Royals | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 48c | 30.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…d024backed Rajasthan Royals | 53c | 30.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…f863backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 27.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…1eecbacked Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers HyderabadSunrisers Hyderabad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.