Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd538e7ebdd86ac1a16516cff0ed8aff88552631a1bf6fd8dc6480389d216e51d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof Vivo Keyd Stars, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LOUD | 65c | 3,850$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.32 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LOUD | 72c | 3,683$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.51 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 1,647$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.03 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 37c | 1,546$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 138 | 31.2%43 W · 95 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 34c | 1,500$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 36c | 855.56$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOUD | 67c | 503.52$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.16 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LOUD | 68c | 470.31$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…4520backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 33c | 275.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed LOUD | 70c | 173.21$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed LOUD | 74c | 125.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 30c | 113.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 33c | 106.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 44c | 99.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 94.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 32c | 77.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed LOUD | 68c | 47.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed LOUD | 62c | 37.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed LOUD | 69c | 31.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed LOUD | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…3e9fbacked LOUD | 73c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…b7c4backed LOUD | 68c | 15.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VKS (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerLOUD won
- LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 WinnerLOUD won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.