Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926d33a287ce32e5f0dcfe53de0bf4e8d35ae6a3902e6ee5268fe8b8cd0cd731
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3f…8af6backed No | 69c | 2,423$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.55 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 21c | 1,247$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 1,241$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 18c | 937.18$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 783.24$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 72c | 633.42$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 40c | 599.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 533.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 14c | 522.02$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 6c | 506.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109c…9cc4backed Yes | 29c | 484.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 24c | 457.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 5c | 447.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 445.38$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.72 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 25c | 406.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 16c | 399.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 7c | 385.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 167 | 9.6%16 W · 151 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 383.13$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 34c | 356.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 30c | 354.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Yes | 27c | 342.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 332.51$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 18c | 266.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.91 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 256.78$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302b…7a54backed Yes | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 74c | 217.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 25c | 209.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…8d89backed Yes | 19c | 206.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…4363backed Yes | 26c | 189.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…4af0backed Yes | 20c | 186.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 61c | 177$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.03 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 61c | 156$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 68c | 150.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 34c | 146.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 146.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…9ae8backed No | 77c | 143.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…d9b3backed Yes | 14c | 142.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 119 | 27.7%33 W · 86 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 134.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 17c | 129.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…3fdfbacked No | 77c | 128.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 31c | 128.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 25c | 128.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 10c | 125.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…434fbacked Yes | 33c | 119.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 36c | 119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 70c | 107.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 68c | 107$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 16c | 106.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 63c | 101.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 439 | 59.5%261 W · 178 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…bee7backed Yes | 30c | 99.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 17c | 97.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 22c | 94.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb615…62b9backed No | 65c | 94.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 605 | 50.7%307 W · 298 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed No | 62c | 90.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked Yes | 14c | 89.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 88.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked No | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 66c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…61dfbacked Yes | 35c | 83.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 77c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 34c | 79.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd04…9b27backed No | 63c | 79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 25c | 79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 77c | 75.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 65c | 74.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 67c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 20c | 69.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 32c | 68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 17c | 65.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c0…64fabacked Yes | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 58.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 58.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 21c | 56.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 496 | 75.4%374 W · 122 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 33c | 54.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 60c | 54.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…a08ebacked Yes | 33c | 48.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 80c | 44.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 44.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…d453backed Yes | 32c | 43.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 31c | 42.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 67c | 42.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…a1f1backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.