Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a583fdbe88413f06ee65daaf832dab9667ce9956dbc283f1ed6286f3fd7b103
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 44c | 6,070$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.3 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 68c | 4,699$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.61 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked Yes | 47c | 2,489$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.12 | 116 | 14.7%17 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 54c | 2,079$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 60c | 2,068$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.57 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 69c | 1,974$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.61 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 11c | 1,271$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.77 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 65c | 1,023$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 22c | 1,010$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.99 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 10c | 787.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.68 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 704.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.04 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 43c | 699.88$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 35c | 650.77$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.9 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 55c | 501.14$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 444.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 25c | 435.54$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.16 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 61c | 434.6$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 405.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.18 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 15c | 392$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 61c | 381.13$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.63 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 35c | 362.54$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 35c | 339.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.31 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 42c | 338.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.26 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 72c | 307.94$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 73c | 301.04$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.39 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 15c | 295.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 12c | 286.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.3 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 283.91$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…53adbacked Yes | 45c | 270.65$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…89e6backed No | 59c | 264.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 61c | 258.47$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 76c | 242.32$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 241.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.91 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 63c | 239.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 11c | 220.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 207.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.05 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 55c | 200.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.04 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…86b4backed No | 60c | 179.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 70c | 177.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 47c | 176.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.87 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…dd11backed Yes | 80c | 176$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 12c | 169.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked No | 59c | 167.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 22c | 158.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 30c | 148.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 39c | 130.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 130.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 22c | 119.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 245 | 31%76 W · 169 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 119$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 47c | 117.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 40c | 116.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 36c | 113.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 30c | 112.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 769 | 24.3%187 W · 582 L | -16.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 22c | 111$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 74c | 109.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 63c | 108.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 60c | 106.69$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 53c | 103.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 54c | 102.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…05ccbacked Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 78c | 98.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 95.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 53c | 90.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 14c | 87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 21c | 82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 46c | 80.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2250…4cd7backed Yes | 13c | 78.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 18c | 78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 49c | 74.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 71c | 72.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 65c | 70.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 68.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 56c | 65.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ed…f076backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…aecabacked Yes | 79c | 63.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 73c | 57.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 41c | 53.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked No | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 77c | 51.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 26c | 50.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 61c | 45.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…6f13backed Yes | 38c | 44.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 77c | 39.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 50c | 38.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 77c | 38.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…67bbbacked Yes | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…2b3bbacked Yes | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 71c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…c58bbacked No | 59c | 30.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.