World Politics · resolved market
Trump meets with Carney before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04304094d5cb0731edbd53304bf2bc28bfdc386891219368f447d0d2cac331c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab93…519fbacked No | 0c | 17,733$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed No | 0c | 11,313$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 6c | 5,849$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 14c | 4,800$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked No | 6c | 4,000$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 8c | 3,595$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.92 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,980$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed No | 3c | 1,622$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 79c | 1,024$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…c5efbacked No | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…0bdabacked Yes | 68c | 886.49$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 74c | 818.17$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.78 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 7c | 722.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 16c | 590.07$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 6c | 564.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 9c | 503.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c48…3299backed No | 41c | 395.11$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 13c | 387$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed No | 10c | 383.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 57c | 300.18$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 59c | 282$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Yes | 72c | 278.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 12c | 268.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 38c | 267.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…aebabacked No | 12c | 265.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 40c | 249.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 46c | 239.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ff…e14ebacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…7462backed No | 39c | 220$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 216.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 212.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 35c | 187.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed No | 9c | 183.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 180$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 32c | 169.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…1c77backed Yes | 63c | 152.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 39c | 149.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…871bbacked Yes | 62c | 129.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 39c | 127.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 33c | 120.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked No | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 71c | 117.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…5838backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked Yes | 67c | 97.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 30c | 86.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…a552backed Yes | 78c | 63.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4372backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed No | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 47c | 40.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…8216backed Yes | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.