MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x772fdf95cbe58a342d5f0e1a53eb94ad7dd8baeb3c0c3abbe75113d1145d2343
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Diamondbacks, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42f4…de66backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 192,117$90,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,272.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 53c | 100,970$53,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,455.96 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 47,429$25,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,149.22 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 12,434$6,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,843.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Diamondbacks | 44c | 10,701$4,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,724.56 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,100$5,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,744 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 8,185$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,847.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 54c | 7,879$4,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 5,915$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.6 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 37c | 5,297$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,222$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 3,452$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.28 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 2,358$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.66 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 40c | 2,183$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.63 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 2,058$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.91 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 31c | 1,950$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.48 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…7f02backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,885$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,876$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.66 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,795$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.8 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,715$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,566$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.78 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,508$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.67 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.5 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,389$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Diamondbacks | 76c | 1,294$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.53 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe6…5cf6backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 874.02$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Blue Jays | 42c | 783.05$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 71c | 729.31$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 616.65$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.03 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 587.59$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 32c | 577.72$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Blue Jays | 38c | 565.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.1 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Blue Jays | 53c | 469.9$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Blue Jays | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 399$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Diamondbacks | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 46c | 362.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 360.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Blue Jays | 30c | 320$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 273.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.64 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Blue Jays | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 239.82$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jays | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Blue Jays | 18c | 217.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.21 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Diamondbacks | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 173.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Diamondbacks | 69c | 170$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 54c | 150.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…9917backed Blue Jays | 71c | 149.07$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 56c | 130.67$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Blue Jays | 21c | 114.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Blue Jays | 48c | 109.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 104.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Blue Jays | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Blue Jays | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 88.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 78.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a74…3193backed Diamondbacks | 75c | 78.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Blue Jays | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Blue Jays | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Blue Jays | 52c | 69.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Blue Jays | 47c | 69.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…d086backed Blue Jays | 53c | 59.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Diamondbacks | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b4…1c80backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Blue Jays | 55c | 48.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147a…b4f1backed Blue Jays | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Blue Jays | 44c | 41.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Blue Jays | 51c | 35.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 34.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.