TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Giants, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Blue Jays57c19,381$11,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,283.8911057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays59c18,830$11,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,671.1418837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Giants43c16,144$6,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.7314048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants41c6,765$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.521,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Giants23c6,340$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.938444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants41c5,272$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.222,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays56c3,982$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.0995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Giants37c3,809$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.1597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Giants42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Giants8c2,750$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Blue Jays58c2,431$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.0231346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants42c2,367$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Giants46c1,737$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.941,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…d5f3backed Blue Jays58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5e…bc55backed Blue Jays56c1,440$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…943abacked Giants44c1,440$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays58c1,417$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.521,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants39c1,415$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.831,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc348…2ceebacked Giants42c1,357$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6b…b325backed Giants42c1,357$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…5a68backed Blue Jays57c1,300$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Giants42c1,168$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…73dcbacked Giants43c1,100$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Giants2c1,075$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants9c1,025$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0393240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Giants43c1,000$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.556553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Blue Jays57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf39…4e13backed Blue Jays58c990$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…52cbbacked Giants43c900$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants44c822.5$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.91,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040e…c03dbacked Blue Jays57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants42c677$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.371,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants10c538.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants6c515.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.476,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Giants42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Giants44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays58c462.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3698149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Giants42c449.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Giants3c448.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.98616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Giants42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16833852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16834051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants25c375.9$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.469,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Giants41c355.06$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Blue Jays57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.885356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Giants42c330$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.65648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants6c325.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Giants17c310.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.267733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants44c289.49$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12830242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays56c281.18$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7255053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants9c265.66$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Giants41c244$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0440548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Giants42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays78c229.39$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Giants44c229.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays57c220$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.61,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants42c200.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.011,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8213151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Blue Jays59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8215644.9%70 W · 86 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Giants9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…15cabacked Giants42c186$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.127847.4%37 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4421656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dd…df92backed Blue Jays57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Blue Jays58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416560%39 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays59c169.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9722546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x514b…ad6abacked Blue Jays59c169.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.627846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491e…440bbacked Giants11c155.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-77.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants27c152$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.365549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants42c141$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.781,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…6e10backed Blue Jays57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.351145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Blue Jays58c139.4$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.552770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants39c133.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5238743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Blue Jays58c124$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a04…7fdabacked Giants42c124$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.08944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…e3acbacked Blue Jays58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2256backed Giants42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9612…9e99backed Giants44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Blue Jays56c111.5$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0623753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…6bf3backed Giants41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.11060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b1…3a8abacked Blue Jays59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf00e…884cbacked Blue Jays58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe22f…0f5dbacked Giants42c110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac2…0e4dbacked Giants48c104.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Giants43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4331244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e9…ed08backed Giants42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Giants44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9213843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Giants54c92.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.973743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Giants44c91.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Giants45c85.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6416552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Giants43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Giants41c69.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6126642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Giants43c64$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Blue Jays55c63.86$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays58c59.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0229552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.