Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Cazaux vs. Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685f08a459980b17f3fa9b687d2c69892bf0aaa1a4485aa77470264725b2b41e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cazauxof Cazaux, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cazaux | 23c | 9,957$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,634.76 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Etcheverry | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Etcheverry | 40c | 902.13$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Etcheverry | 75c | 727.97$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.18 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Cazaux | 59c | 588.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Etcheverry | 11c | 522$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.42 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Etcheverry | 64c | 492$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.88 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Etcheverry | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Cazaux | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Etcheverry | 63c | 283.78$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.78 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cazaux | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cazaux | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Cazaux | 54c | 258$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Etcheverry | 34c | 236.36$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cazaux | 45c | 235$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Etcheverry | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cazaux | 36c | 199.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.88 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Etcheverry | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Etcheverry | 78c | 192.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.8 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Etcheverry | 71c | 155.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Cazaux | 36c | 152$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Etcheverry | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cazaux | 34c | 147.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cazaux | 27c | 106.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Etcheverry | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Cazaux | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Cazaux | 30c | 83.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1f…62f3backed Etcheverry | 80c | 80.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Etcheverry | 64c | 50.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Etcheverry | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Etcheverry | 45c | 49.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Etcheverry | 64c | 46.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Etcheverry | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…e40abacked Etcheverry | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Cazaux | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Cazaux | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.