Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Open: Comesana vs. Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f7b6e2ca07d05ebf64972f79c61647ac5803b1e60019ecbf8643b1e911b4d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesana of Comesana , Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Comesana | 64c | 1,520$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.19 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Baena | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Baena | 36c | 937.36$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Comesana | 65c | 842.42$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Baena | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Baena | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Baena | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Baena | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Comesana | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Comesana | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Baena | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Baena | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Baena | 35c | 85.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Comesana | 73c | 61.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Comesana | 65c | 53.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Baena | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Baena | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Comesana | 65c | 43.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Comesana | 65c | 29.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Comesana | 62c | 28.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Comesana | 65c | 18.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.