TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rockiesof Twins, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$500,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$607,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5912…89aebacked Rockies37c130,173$48,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,051.292744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Twins63c51,988$32,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,752.2535854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins63c46,741$29,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,47060249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies37c46,541$17,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,334.7941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins63c23,911$15,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,063.8586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Twins63c21,280$13,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,408.0648254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Twins64c12,715$8,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,18336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies75c11,280$8,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.342,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins63c9,500$5,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9851,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Twins64c9,467$6,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,021.6838444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies36c8,139$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.1544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Twins10c6,606$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.061428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins64c5,990$3,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.8356451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins39c5,577$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.219,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rockies34c4,562$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.610844.4%48 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Twins66c4,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies37c4,238$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,670.5521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Twins63c4,151$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.951,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Rockies37c4,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5406450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Twins0c3,827$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.714754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8867…4bb7backed Twins64c2,894$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.391770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Twins66c2,664$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.982864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies77c2,644$2,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.7897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Twins1c2,506$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.245862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Twins44c2,499$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.7211057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins63c2,084$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Rockies36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2806553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x105d…786abacked Twins64c1,979$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.61850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Twins41c1,967$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.1717927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Twins77c1,945$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50024154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Twins65c1,909$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25026847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins61c1,769$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins35c1,688$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.4295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Twins66c1,472$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.5319452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins4c1,300$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5227733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Rockies59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.42948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins7c837.78$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Twins65c703.85$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.516157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Rockies36c694.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.7915949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Rockies36c669.44$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.449332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins6c641.74$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.426,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Twins64c538.92$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34724751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies35c498.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies34c490$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.444443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies35c449.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.991,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Twins3c445$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.848762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Twins45c433.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9651334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7566…c91fbacked Twins64c432.78$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.27425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies67c425.86$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.591,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Rockies50c424.27$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.2738743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1f…ab66backed Rockies39c369.23$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.232751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Rockies35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.514048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins40c344.43$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.444,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Twins62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Twins64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins64c311.39$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Twins65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Twins65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Rockies35c299.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Rockies36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7856351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rockies35c260.69$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.455,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Twins22c252.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4524953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Twins55c249.8$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3911331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies51c248.11$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Rockies40c223.65$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1931254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Twins74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14851151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Twins53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.451,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Rockies36c157$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4813843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30c…9c06backed Twins65c155.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Twins66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Rockies48c146.29$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5512045.8%55 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked Twins25c132$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Twins29c124.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6242955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Rockies36c123$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.728253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Rockies34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Twins65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Twins64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6466751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd469…6255backed Twins65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.81,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies37c99.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d4…ba68backed Twins45c85.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-46.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Twins80c80$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.612267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe69b…6afdbacked Twins65c76.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed Twins64c68.88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2824051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb64f…3237backed Rockies36c68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5216846.4%78 W · 90 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed Twins66c57.58$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3825952.5%136 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed Rockies36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+41.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies35c53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4550843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3250447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xffd6…e6b3backed Rockies37c49.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.51464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe913…1a90backed Twins63c47.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.993138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Twins65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e2…aec0backed Twins65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9376…1655backed Twins65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020649.5%102 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa58e…3af7backed Twins65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x261a…c166backed Rockies54c45.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.953636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Rockies37c45.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies36c45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.845749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d7…f55fbacked Rockies40c41.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.