MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785718b1f8fe3f876294cb8a34997279bce2802d4ad36cc615e31a9c9bec4815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 193,575$85,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,661.49 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 56c | 130,960$73,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,232.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Marlins | 55c | 45,673$25,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,120.33 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,049.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…5494backed Cardinals | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 55c | 5,800$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 29c | 5,791$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 56c | 5,279$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.17 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cardinals | 57c | 4,586$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.9 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Cardinals | 43c | 4,205$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,396.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Marlins | 57c | 3,649$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.93 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 19c | 2,900$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…ff82backed Marlins | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,419$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.89 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 55c | 2,366$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.3 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Cardinals | 76c | 2,250$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Marlins | 56c | 2,225$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 51c | 2,185$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.82 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…5d6bbacked Marlins | 56c | 2,100$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 21c | 2,007$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Marlins | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 39c | 1,857$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…ed49backed Marlins | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Marlins | 56c | 1,164$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.64 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 19c | 1,136$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…d3a2backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.16 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,132$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…ec03backed Marlins | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Marlins | 56c | 1,066$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,018$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Marlins | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f6…1e55backed Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Marlins | 41c | 999.37$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…8429backed Marlins | 56c | 982$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 42c | 967.22$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marlins | 23c | 946.65$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Marlins | 11c | 929.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 800.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.41 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…1f78backed Cardinals | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…d436backed Cardinals | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 68c | 717.7$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 45c | 668.13$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.47 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Marlins | 56c | 627.86$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…1416backed Marlins | 56c | 618$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Marlins | 56c | 601$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cardinals | 44c | 569$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Marlins | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Marlins | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Cardinals | 79c | 518.23$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.83 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Marlins | 13c | 504.85$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.78 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Marlins | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marlins | 33c | 477.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 42c | 469.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.27 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 445.84$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.21 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 44c | 418.97$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.62 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Marlins | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 43c | 399.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cardinals | 60c | 373.2$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Marlins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 57c | 350.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 5c | 338.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Marlins | 9c | 330.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Marlins | 22c | 298.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Marlins | 7c | 278.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins | 56c | 267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Marlins | 28c | 264.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 42c | 249.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 249.28$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 44c | 239.37$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…7818backed Cardinals | 45c | 237.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3118…05f0backed Marlins | 56c | 237.5$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 45c | 235.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 44c | 228$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 36c | 208.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…09cabacked Cardinals | 43c | 206.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…278cbacked Marlins | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…40c9backed Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…a9efbacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.