MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc89be5762517b16abd828b01261d238ae92c734d33bcbfa9dc6cf789d7d292f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Astros, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Tigers | 59c | 93,301$55,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,253.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 58c | 46,250$26,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,435.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 42c | 33,195$13,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,941.84 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…e106backed Astros | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.98 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 41c | 25,555$10,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,477.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 41c | 20,909$8,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,649.81 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Astros | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 42c | 6,565$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.3 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 42c | 5,189$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.39 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Astros | 41c | 5,122$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.97 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Astros | 41c | 5,030$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…88febacked Tigers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Tigers | 57c | 4,277$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.11 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Astros | 42c | 4,070$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Tigers | 59c | 3,645$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Tigers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…bef4backed Astros | 44c | 2,728$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…74cebacked Astros | 44c | 2,274$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Tigers | 56c | 1,940$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Astros | 44c | 1,940$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 43c | 1,836$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.31 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Astros | 38c | 1,719$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.62 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 44c | 1,714$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.47 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9741…7956backed Astros | 44c | 1,477$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 42c | 1,359$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.92 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…2602backed Tigers | 56c | 1,329$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1f64backed Astros | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…79b3backed Astros | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers | 70c | 1,165$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.07 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 5c | 1,156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 41c | 1,136$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 42c | 1,120$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…b325backed Tigers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Astros | 43c | 1,064$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.41 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…98afbacked Tigers | 56c | 1,045$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 41c | 1,024$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.84 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…27a6backed Astros | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 45c | 995$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.75 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…f5f2backed Astros | 44c | 977$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681f…e1f3backed Tigers | 56c | 955$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Astros | 42c | 954.76$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 26c | 861$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Astros | 42c | 839$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.38 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a49…b41bbacked Tigers | 56c | 763$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Astros | 42c | 748$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 43c | 740.46$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.4 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 42c | 714$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cd47backed Tigers | 58c | 686.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…22c9backed Tigers | 56c | 655.89$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Tigers | 77c | 645.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers | 59c | 600$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.21 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 40c | 574.9$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Tigers | 56c | 561.94$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 42c | 561$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers | 54c | 559.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.32 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Astros | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Astros | 38c | 529.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 41c | 464.39$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 67c | 456.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Astros | 43c | 454.16$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 45c | 450$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Tigers | 56c | 444.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.53 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Tigers | 57c | 430.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.29 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Tigers | 59c | 424$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.72 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Astros | 44c | 406.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 77c | 403$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 43c | 399.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Tigers | 55c | 393.26$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers | 60c | 359$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 43c | 349.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 43c | 349.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Astros | 44c | 349$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.02 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 58c | 301.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Tigers | 57c | 287.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.83 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Astros | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 42c | 249.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Tigers | 56c | 242.41$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 41c | 242$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…4a80backed Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Tigers | 57c | 233.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 57c | 220.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5a…d1bbbacked Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…4ef4backed Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Astros | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Tigers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.