WNBA · resolved market
Sky vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52e01a44b3d98af5da00150c0a57ac5593c81e9b8b47379bd6745e3f850e38a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mysticsof Sky, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 74c | 9,586$7,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.55 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sky | 27c | 5,971$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.89 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Sky | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sky | 28c | 870.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 76c | 860$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mystics | 74c | 727.94$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.26 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mystics | 76c | 654.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sky | 23c | 444.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Mystics | 73c | 420.37$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sky | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sky | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mystics | 74c | 353.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 26c | 350$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sky | 26c | 274.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Sky | 11c | 236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sky | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sky | 24c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…13b1backed Mystics | 75c | 137.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Mystics | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Sky | 25c | 99.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sky | 23c | 97.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sky | 24c | 67.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sky | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sky | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Sky | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.