Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. LGD Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0093010fb8ff1dd38aab04dd041abec7427bae1ad63a586d73948747c5d28aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNGof LNG, LGD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG | 65c | 22,410$14,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,915.6 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked LGD | 36c | 14,916$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.8 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked LGD | 65c | 10,456$6,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,796.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed LNG | 35c | 9,999$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LGD | 31c | 8,921$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.42 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed LNG | 36c | 5,543$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.52 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LNG | 60c | 5,087$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.45 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…ae0fbacked LGD | 24c | 4,000$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed LGD | 25c | 2,400$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 388 | 37.4%145 W · 243 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed LNG | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed LNG | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.99 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed LGD | 37c | 1,481$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.97 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LGD | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed LNG | 35c | 1,397$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.8 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed LGD | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked LNG | 35c | 770.51$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.83 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked LGD | 65c | 769.99$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed LGD | 66c | 757.88$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LGD | 65c | 700$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked LGD | 36c | 694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LNG | 33c | 566.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.83 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed LGD | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed LGD | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked LGD | 23c | 500$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed LGD | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked LGD | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5a…b7aabacked LGD | 66c | 455$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LGD | 66c | 370$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed LGD | 37c | 308.43$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed LNG | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed LGD | 65c | 202.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed LGD | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LGD | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked LGD | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked LGD | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed LGD | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LNG | 62c | 136.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed LNG | 34c | 110$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed LGD | 36c | 108.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed LGD | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed LNG | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 217 | 35.9%78 W · 139 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed LGD | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…448fbacked LGD | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked LGD | 67c | 91.69$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd0…652bbacked LNG | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed LGD | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed LGD | 67c | 76.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed LNG | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2a…5ccebacked LGD | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LNG | 35c | 42.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…096ebacked LGD | 66c | 29.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LNG | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked LGD | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 174 | 66.7%116 W · 58 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.