Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iraq before December?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ad4783e5a269afb3b9219a41d5eb8a9f553ea74ac8eeff5f2772060b70fffd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 16c | 18,232$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 12c | 13,999$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.74 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…92cabacked Yes | 14c | 5,106$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.33 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 10c | 4,264$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 13c | 3,950$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.25 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…9ed4backed Yes | 9c | 3,652$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 3,261$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7667…9680backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,911$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 12c | 2,529$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.41 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 2,507$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,209$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.32 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 16c | 2,187$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.54 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…c7bcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,143$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe241…29febacked Yes | 23c | 2,068$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…5d20backed Yes | 18c | 2,021$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.29 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…bba9backed Yes | 12c | 1,901$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 15c | 1,850$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…4febbacked Yes | 17c | 1,792$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +160.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d5…6b05backed Yes | 19c | 1,544$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,384$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.58 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…d883backed Yes | 16c | 1,375$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 20c | 1,239$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…d18dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,163$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…9c22backed Yes | 3c | 1,038$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 2c | 1,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fc…6119backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 11c | 950.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 15c | 898.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 18c | 801.04$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db7…dcedbacked Yes | 9c | 779.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…29f3backed Yes | 11c | 776.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…b6f9backed Yes | 9c | 713.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…b5aebacked Yes | 15c | 707.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…4a54backed Yes | 17c | 706.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…713ebacked Yes | 8c | 702.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93de…bd2bbacked Yes | 22c | 639.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…1f7cbacked Yes | 8c | 570.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…00b3backed Yes | 20c | 482.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 13c | 429.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 15c | 381.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 5c | 380.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8645…c507backed Yes | 19c | 339.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2388backed Yes | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 11c | 300.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…b59cbacked Yes | 6c | 299.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…28ddbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…0d70backed Yes | 8c | 293.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 31c | 291.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…e284backed Yes | 6c | 271.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…133bbacked Yes | 19c | 238.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…b8f5backed Yes | 19c | 235.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d6…24aabacked Yes | 15c | 235.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 19cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 16c | 222.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…e16dbacked Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…24ebbacked Yes | 5c | 215.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…050fbacked Yes | 18c | 208.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcedd…10d6backed Yes | 7c | 185.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 14c | 180.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x139d…fe64backed Yes | 18c | 169.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 75c | 161.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff69…133fbacked Yes | 10c | 155$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102e…97bbbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e13…cf17backed Yes | 18c | 149.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707c…21bbbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 14c | 145.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c5…4052backed Yes | 18c | 142.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…608abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…0e95backed Yes | 14c | 109.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec29…cb73backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…48e2backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…daccbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…c109backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 16c | 94.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 22c | 92.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…9765backed Yes | 17c | 88.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…8b52backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…b6bbbacked Yes | 18c | 68.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 73c | 62.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 41c | 60.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked No | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0f…cc1ebacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…015bbacked No | 78c | 51.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…c64dbacked No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 79c | 46.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…7762backed No | 80c | 46.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d62…e937backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…82fabacked Yes | 47c | 42.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 71c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…5ffabacked No | 60c | 20.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.