TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Utah, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3a0…35c4backed Utah52c9,998$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa37c…4a56backed Kraken48c9,998$4,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,198.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…ca41backed Kraken49c9,998$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb1e…e67bbacked Utah51c9,998$5,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken42c7,297$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.5435545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Utah58c3,908$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.5810451.9%54 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9931849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Kraken51c2,924$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.635253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Utah54c2,780$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5014242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah55c2,055$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.891,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Kraken43c1,798$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Utah58c1,722$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Utah2c1,666$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.197450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf5f…2184backed Utah58c1,555$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.312948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Utah45c1,201$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Utah1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29e4…252fbacked Utah57c864$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.481450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Kraken43c860$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589e…c63ebacked Kraken48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.334271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Utah53c691.63$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.0341851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Utah55c616.21$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.613846.4%64 W · 74 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Utah54c540.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.0747249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kraken69c500.02$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.6813361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Utah35c405.1$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.128950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba1…6d31backed Kraken47c360$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3421…54d4backed Utah53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kraken43c348.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.8419438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Utah58c344$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Utah46c307.8$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.596137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Utah52c254.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kraken55c209.79$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7924945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Utah40c203.88$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Utah59c203.39$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…7c82backed Kraken48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8461…36a4backed Utah52c199.62$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Utah56c180.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…931fbacked Kraken54c176.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3874…dd21backed Utah52c175.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah56c173.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1572847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Utah58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken51c163.96$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Kraken44c156.8$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8148654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kraken40c154.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5566…a752backed Utah58c116.38$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Kraken43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Kraken48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x271e…bf4ebacked Kraken49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Utah53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5350049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb180…e610backed Utah54c99.83$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3970…0469backed Utah49c97.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5095…5b37backed Kraken54c96.85$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Kraken44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b67…3f53backed Utah51c90.37$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Utah46c89.49$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1619150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf196…00fbbacked Utah47c88.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Utah58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b06…f4abbacked Utah55c84.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a6…ec63backed Utah53c83.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073c…68a5backed Kraken48c83.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd489…1278backed Kraken49c83.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…dc3abacked Utah53c83.03$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.09425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…647dbacked Utah54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb17f…60eebacked Kraken43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.771936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ed7…718dbacked Kraken51c65.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35fc…db55backed Utah56c64.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.741353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Kraken49c63.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6662944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8556…f9eabacked Kraken46c63.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.431060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…78c0backed Utah52c62.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec28…c21fbacked Utah54c60.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4246…100dbacked Utah54c59.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38cd…6783backed Kraken46c53.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1635…f184backed Utah49c53.1$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.03425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2505…a4f7backed Kraken48c52.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.475046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f49…cfb2backed Utah56c51.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Kraken48c50.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4431248.4%151 W · 161 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Kraken43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb858…9594backed Kraken44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f26…c245backed Utah53c49.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd468…5232backed Utah52c49.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fea…068bbacked Kraken48c48.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+66.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7201…9d8bbacked Utah48c47.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe788…8693backed Kraken50c47.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4e…ece0backed Utah51c47.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…d55dbacked Utah54c46.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b98…f555backed Kraken51c46.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Kraken50c46.61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.411258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…dcbebacked Kraken46c46.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…ead3backed Utah51c45.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44af…129fbacked Utah49c44.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b9…93e7backed Kraken49c44.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cb…eb8cbacked Utah51c44.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5251…6b67backed Kraken48c44.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…9984backed Utah52c44.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5710…227bbacked Kraken52c44.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd88…01bcbacked Utah52c44.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d34…e087backed Kraken48c44.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa149…50adbacked Kraken53c44.12$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+53.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc7…ba30backed Utah54c43.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+84.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.