Other European Leagues · resolved market
Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06133f95d05d1a0d1206a432625a816a0ba58d26887b84ef290eaefc2e6c07f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.95 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 47c | 4,148$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,638$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.29 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,325$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.44 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 53c | 1,651$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 53c | 1,538$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 21c | 1,247$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 56c | 809.95$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 48c | 603.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 53c | 570$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 47c | 552$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.2 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 256.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 33c | 216.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 197$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.41 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 53c | 146.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 109.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 53c | 85.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 59c | 66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 53c | 49.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 33c | 45.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 50c | 32.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dundee FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.