NHL · resolved market
KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e694b19bb239338559bd14cd4f5fd0e4129dce5fe5fb253aad427528976b657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Sochiof SKA St. Petersburg, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked HC Sochi | 20c | 313.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed HC Sochi | 53c | 150.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 134$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed HC Sochi | 21c | 115.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 77c | 108$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…8d3dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb5…a05bbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked HC Sochi | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed SKA St. Petersburg | 78c | 69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…f0c1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 73c | 56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…6f25backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 67cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 31c | 50.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed HC Sochi | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SKA St. Petersburg | 76c | 34.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed HC Sochi | 40c | 32.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9538…1247backed SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 30.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed SKA St. Petersburg | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa194…a62abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…b97cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 75cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 13.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.