Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5218157d8ac78cb023064bcfc79fc3353f9bc93894c547bcda75b33a52635b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Quinn, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Collignon | 51c | 1,014$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.64 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Quinn | 52c | 962.36$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Quinn | 51c | 796.28$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.78 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Collignon | 48c | 543.02$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Quinn | 51c | 533.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Quinn | 55c | 428.16$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.82 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Collignon | 48c | 427.66$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Quinn | 9c | 358$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Collignon | 71c | 350.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Collignon | 71c | 322.75$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Quinn | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Quinn | 11c | 298.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Collignon | 49c | 291$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Collignon | 47c | 274.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Collignon | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Quinn | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Quinn | 50c | 169.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Quinn | 50c | 154.08$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Collignon | 56c | 125.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Quinn | 48c | 104.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Collignon | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Collignon | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Quinn | 27c | 96.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Collignon | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Quinn | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Collignon | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Collignon | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Collignon | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Collignon | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Collignon | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Collignon | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Collignon | 46c | 26.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Collignon | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Quinn | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Collignon | 50c | 20.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Collignon | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.