Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Joshua Charlton vs Yusuke Takahashi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bf1722b6354df97f5d73eabc55083e7fcfed60861727ec554a1df258159b0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yusuke Takahashiof Joshua Charlton, Yusuke Takahashi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Joshua Charlton | 16c | 823.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Yusuke Takahashi | 62c | 463.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Joshua Charlton | 46c | 389.93$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.93 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Joshua Charlton | 5c | 380.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Joshua Charlton | 35c | 275.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Joshua Charlton | 35c | 220.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Joshua Charlton | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yusuke Takahashi | 54c | 179$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 62c | 160.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yusuke Takahashi | 62c | 142.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 51c | 90.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Joshua Charlton | 25c | 88.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Joshua Charlton | 50c | 74.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 59c | 66.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yusuke Takahashi | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Yusuke Takahashi | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Joshua Charlton | 38c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Yusuke Takahashi | 37c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Yusuke Takahashi | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Yusuke Takahashi | 55c | 24.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Joshua Charlton | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yusuke Takahashi | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.