MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefc6b78546054e094721770f1a75f7df123fa1ba40a1ec1a1a2f05fd3429f3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 82,972$41,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,657.16 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 72,000$36,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,658.06 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 40,998$24,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,371.71 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff94…8c4bbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 12,760$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,677.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 12,000$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 8,409$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.82 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 7,421$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,476.46 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 6,372$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Miami Marlins | 24c | 5,376$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085.89 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 5,090$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.22 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 4,968$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.81 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,763$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.9 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 4,685$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,611$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.21 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 4,565$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.16 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,470$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.58 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,293$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.51 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,103$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.4 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,843$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 2,667$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.78 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 2,628$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.71 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 2,378$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,847$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.69 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.45 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,742$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.16 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 1,691$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,516$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.7 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,010$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.76 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 175 | 17.1%30 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 987.01$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 834.95$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.48 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 834.25$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 356 | 58.1%207 W · 149 L | +26.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 773$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 757.14$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 743.29$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 672.69$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.62 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 595.54$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 555$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 542.1$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.39 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 494.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 461.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 1,176 | 43.8%515 W · 661 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 403$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 380.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 373.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 80c | 364$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 350$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.5 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 342.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 306.41$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 293.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 286$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 285.32$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 223.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…1377backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 220.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…9845backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9df…421ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 219.68$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 208.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Miami Marlins | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 196.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 190.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 180.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 179.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 171.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 171.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 170.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 160.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 151.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 139.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.81 | 324 | 34.6%112 W · 212 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Miami Marlins | 39c | 138.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 137.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4890backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 130.41$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 129.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 1,026 | 58.1%596 W · 430 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 127.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…4d75backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 126.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 122.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 121.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…ce3ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 117.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 620 | 49.2%305 W · 315 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 117.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 116.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…6018backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 110.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.