TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Muchovaof Muchova, Alexandrova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,576

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Muchova60c7,997$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,211.252,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alexandrova48c3,573$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.196,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Muchova67c3,429$2,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.762846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Alexandrova44c3,126$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.591,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Alexandrova38c1,711$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.422,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Muchova54c1,618$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.3311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Muchova56c1,537$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.471,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Alexandrova33c1,516$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Alexandrova57c1,500$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.6958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Alexandrova42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2811060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Muchova43c1,169$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.3344125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Alexandrova41c1,113$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3441645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Alexandrova35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…53b3backed Alexandrova53c993.87$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5277848.7%38 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Muchova37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56730645.1%138 W · 168 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alexandrova43c828.08$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.442,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Muchova62c715.9$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0412752%66 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Muchova58c691.09$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0910043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Alexandrova31c645.94$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.662729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Muchova36c555.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.7813844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Muchova74c540.68$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.681560%9 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164e…c2a2backed Alexandrova42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Alexandrova27c437$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5524340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexandrova46c357.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.928,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Alexandrova57c354.05$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.583464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Muchova45c318$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.466250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Alexandrova52c304$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.481,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Muchova43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Alexandrova28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8458021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked Muchova67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x788f…8c1ebacked Alexandrova32c246.88$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7918460.3%111 W · 73 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Alexandrova60c233.16$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.947664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Alexandrova39c217.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.715551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Alexandrova46c215.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Muchova40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Muchova57c193.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.484247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Alexandrova49c190.47$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5822236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Alexandrova59c170.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Muchova32c162.31$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3722021.8%48 W · 172 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Muchova61c156.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.252,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x927d…c7d4backed Alexandrova55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x459d…6a27backed Muchova45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Alexandrova19c140.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.368713.8%12 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Muchova44c135.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Muchova74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1473350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…e98fbacked Alexandrova50c134$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Alexandrova59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7588446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Alexandrova17c123.53$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2128833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Muchova60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec6b…869dbacked Alexandrova55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Alexandrova34c115.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.671631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Muchova66c106.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Alexandrova58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Alexandrova11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113816.7%23 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Alexandrova33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3359348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Alexandrova68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6846556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ef…91cebacked Muchova45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Alexandrova54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5423852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x545e…0185backed Alexandrova25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alexandrova55c99.93$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9634842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Alexandrova59c99.21$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.352,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Alexandrova54c96.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2518644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Muchova51c94.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.182,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Alexandrova38c93.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.59242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Alexandrova55c92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Alexandrova59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.114456.3%81 W · 63 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Alexandrova43c80.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f1…df16backed Alexandrova39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Muchova42c78.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2518241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Muchova58c77.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.453151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80e2…9ff7backed Alexandrova38c75.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.84438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Muchova56c69.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4914947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Muchova70c64.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.127444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Alexandrova56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Alexandrova58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82330.4%7 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-51.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Alexandrova73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.54358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Muchova75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Alexandrova38c47.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3327627.2%75 W · 201 L-25.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Alexandrova63c45.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3928754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Alexandrova43c44.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.032748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Alexandrova57c44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Muchova45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ee…6899backed Muchova65c41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.352944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Muchova45c39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.45520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Alexandrova60c37.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.692,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Alexandrova56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Muchova66c36.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.364566.7%30 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Muchova45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2521240.6%86 W · 126 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Muchova65c34.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9111553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a53…70a1backed Alexandrova68c33.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3492…9fddbacked Muchova55c32.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Muchova65c29.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Muchova44c22.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.871,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Muchova65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2513351.9%69 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…ceeabacked Muchova60c20.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.135650%28 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Muchova58c20.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5416144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.