Tennis · resolved market
Hobart International: Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db12e9d02a73a648b5641864cfe5b4a45f3fce8caaa789c28aedbbd4265ca2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sramkovaof Sramkova, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sramkova | 72c | 5,814$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Gracheva | 39c | 2,959$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gracheva | 18c | 2,633$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.28 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gracheva | 17c | 1,113$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.54 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Gracheva | 43c | 811.55$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sramkova | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Sramkova | 57c | 758.11$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sramkova | 76c | 608.87$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Gracheva | 6c | 552.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Gracheva | 39c | 461.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gracheva | 15c | 448.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gracheva | 42c | 368.46$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…a2f4backed Sramkova | 63c | 241.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.14 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Gracheva | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Sramkova | 47c | 170$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sramkova | 70c | 161.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Gracheva | 28c | 159.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Gracheva | 33c | 140.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Gracheva | 22c | 101.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Sramkova | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sramkova | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Sramkova | 55c | 57.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Gracheva | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gracheva | 46c | 44.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Gracheva | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Sramkova | 76c | 25.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Gracheva | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hobart International: Rebecca Sramkova vs Varvara Grachevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sramkova vs GrachevaSramkova won
- Sramkova vs. Gracheva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.