Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Maria Sholokhova vs Kristina Kroitor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ee2428619817c357320f6966824b5370155ab70c29187d2907c2c7a1b3a8548
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sholokhovaof Maria Sholokhova, Kristina Kroitor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Kristina Kroitor | 55c | 3,160$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.14 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Maria Sholokhova | 79c | 1,613$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.51 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maria Sholokhova | 44c | 1,168$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.96 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Maria Sholokhova | 45c | 749.64$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.94 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Maria Sholokhova | 50c | 735$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.37 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kristina Kroitor | 28c | 694.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Kristina Kroitor | 12c | 612.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 599.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kristina Kroitor | 60c | 562.41$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 494.39$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Sholokhova | 63c | 482.38$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Sholokhova | 44c | 449.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…3157backed Maria Sholokhova | 48c | 419.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Kristina Kroitor | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Maria Sholokhova | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 262.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Sholokhova | 42c | 232.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 226.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.98 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Kristina Kroitor | 54c | 184.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…e59cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Kristina Kroitor | 30c | 162.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Maria Sholokhova | 45c | 161.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kristina Kroitor | 55c | 129.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Kristina Kroitor | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Kristina Kroitor | 56c | 82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kristina Kroitor | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…0e19backed Kristina Kroitor | 24c | 61.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kristina Kroitor | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Maria Sholokhova | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Maria Sholokhova | 47c | 50.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Kristina Kroitor | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Kristina Kroitor | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Maria Sholokhova | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Maria Sholokhova | 76c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 37.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Kristina Kroitor | 53c | 34.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Sholokhova | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Sholokhova | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kristina Kroitor | 57c | 27.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Kristina Kroitor | 56c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kristina Kroitor | 56c | 23.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Maria Sholokhova | 72c | 21.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…3253backed Maria Sholokhova | 46c | 21.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Kristina Kroitor | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.