F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0882b7475aca8a62506f3b5aa6e95d098ff57a0312a3c79866615d410aadb5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 8c | 3,561$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 4c | 696.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 17c | 617.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f60…fd20backed Yes | 3c | 545.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 5c | 481.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 75c | 212.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 70c | 190.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 67c | 103.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 97.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 73c | 61.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…e6d4backed No | 71c | 18.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.