La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0dd4b88cad89ef9298930fbaec6d8edb6e5f59b96b4baa80777b17e7099218
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc579…e386backed Yes | 7c | 75,082$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…77f6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 9,126$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.17 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 6c | 6,100$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,843$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 5c | 4,930$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.08 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 5c | 4,138$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 5c | 4,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…34e9backed Yes | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 3,089$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 1,572$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,529$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.58 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…d66dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 8c | 989$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 4c | 866.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abc…2f82backed Yes | 3c | 860.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 5c | 807.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…4525backed Yes | 5c | 794.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Yes | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 4c | 475.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…246dbacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 5c | 326.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 7c | 313.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…a117backed Yes | 6c | 312.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 7c | 255$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…5fe1backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 6c | 209$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…725cbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 6c | 167$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 7c | 160.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-07?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.