La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d125b1d8aef28680a01fba3b111315169fc15de78fcf29057067412f93e040e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,911$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,810$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 1,234$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,126$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…3f3dbacked Yes | 11c | 754.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5254…d66dbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 10c | 210.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…0f1bbacked Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…0450backed Yes | 11c | 149.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 15c | 133.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…46f8backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…abedbacked Yes | 11c | 120.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 9c | 111.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 10c | 110.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…daafbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc53…5ce3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…a44cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…0311backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.