Bundesliga · resolved market
FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef310ad5edb0240fb0375d00b4fb6d0a26aac1042a894193ef4699539cc8e12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 9,419$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.94 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 40c | 4,359$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 63c | 3,941$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.78 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 37c | 3,763$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.04 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.85 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,992$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.36 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…e885backed Under | 46c | 1,935$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,366$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.38 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 63c | 1,228$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.65 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 63c | 1,205$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.84 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 1,192$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 1,037$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 55c | 884.54$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 57c | 877$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…9b8abacked Over | 41c | 866.85$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 44c | 658.74$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 35c | 634.6$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 35c | 582.47$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.6 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 65c | 538.27$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.88 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 464.37$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.24 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 48c | 405.23$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 36c | 369$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 357$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 35c | 357$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.05 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 35c | 338.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.72 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 64c | 307.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 37c | 304.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.71 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 302.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 293.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 35c | 228$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 37c | 226.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 210.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 66c | 195.92$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 65c | 195.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 34c | 183.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 42c | 179.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 37c | 169.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 162.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 37c | 121.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 37c | 121.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…916ebacked Over | 61c | 112.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 48c | 108.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 58c | 103.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.37 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 102.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Under | 45c | 96.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Under | 38c | 95.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 94.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Over | 60c | 93.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Under | 58c | 90.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 57c | 85.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 82.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 34c | 78.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 76.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 64c | 69.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 43c | 63.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 48c | 62.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 61c | 54.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 49c | 52.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 61c | 51.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 49c | 45.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 36c | 41.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 39.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 37c | 33.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 33.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 37c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 37c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Over | 64c | 28.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 28.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 27.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 37c | 27.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 27.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Under | 60c | 25.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 45c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 78c | 23.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-1.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
- Spread: FC Augsburg (-2.5)Eintracht Frankfurt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.