TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

FC Augsburg vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c9,419$4,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,522.943,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over40c4,359$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.63548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over63c3,941$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.786761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under37c3,763$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.048448.8%41 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Over65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.855541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c1,992$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.362,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Under46c1,935$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.011729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,366$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.3864043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over63c1,228$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.659854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over63c1,205$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.8416850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c1,192$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.9369851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under35c1,037$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67081732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over55c884.54$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.55538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c877$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8918759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b6f…9b8abacked Over41c866.85$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over44c658.74$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.914445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over35c634.6$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.594759.6%28 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under35c582.47$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.69532.6%31 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over65c538.27$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.882759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.611450%7 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under35c464.37$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.241,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over48c405.23$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.74922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under36c369$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.165145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c357$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8133938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c357$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0538748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.722138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under35c338.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7228755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over64c307.36$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.719551.6%49 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under37c304.93$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7121355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over34c302.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2544655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19542046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.516846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c293.68$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8933047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over44c289.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.564025%10 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under35c228$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.215747.1%74 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under37c226.2$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c210.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over66c195.92$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3117055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over65c195.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.271752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over34c183.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0110549.5%52 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed Over42c179.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62425%6 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under37c169.47$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.774660.9%28 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under59c162.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.491,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c160$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.234655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.91275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over65c150.62$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96428.1%18 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under37c121.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6318554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under37c121.64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6317852.8%94 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.21637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3061…916ebacked Over61c112.07$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+212.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c108.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6910552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over58c103.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3753140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under37c102.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.83946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc92d…9691backed Over48c100.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.538845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under45c96.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.341546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a1…ea66backed Under38c95.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.911650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over61c94.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4312560.8%76 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over60c93.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.134740.4%19 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under58c90.63$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over57c85.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.792356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c82.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.599265.2%60 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over34c78.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.461560%9 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over63c78.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2822562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under58c76.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over65c75.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.952944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Over64c69.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over43c63.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.982955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over48c62.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0310532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under61c54.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under45c53.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.553070%21 W · 9 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under36c53.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1911060%66 W · 44 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcccd…8377backed Over49c52.57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c51.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2510863%68 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.995536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under49c45.9$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2411159.5%66 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over65c45.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.372157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under36c41.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.383243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c39.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7220645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over56c34.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under37c33.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3310647.2%50 W · 56 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c33.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6626445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under37c30.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0911049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under37c30.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Over64c28.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over42c28.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8822221.6%48 W · 174 L-34.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.3%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under71c27.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9248658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed Over37c27.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-68.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c27.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2333737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38a5…37a5backed Over55c26.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under60c25.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Under45c25.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.182857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under53c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7514642.5%62 W · 84 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Under78c23.73$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over45c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.354242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.