MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7fa051e5287ebc0d6a9acd0565d89ba20e2f82116673b4408615649bca5662
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x986b…12e9backed Under | 46c | 159,368$72,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,652.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 54c | 131,022$71,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,019.95 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 15,700$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,601.71 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 13,636$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Under | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 8,809$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.92 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 55c | 7,094$3,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,901.84 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 17c | 6,000$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Over | 50c | 4,600$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.85 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 4,057$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.86 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 51c | 3,923$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.73 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 3,635$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 2,368$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.47 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 2,300$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,939$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Over | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 1,913$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.1 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 47c | 1,784$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.25 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,555$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.99 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 51c | 1,454$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.07 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 45c | 1,401$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.58 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 1,400$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.31 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 1,332$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.04 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,175$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.37 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01a…cc6abacked Over | 51c | 1,152$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,146$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.24 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 52c | 1,100$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 47c | 999.94$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.97 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 53c | 928.3$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 850$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 55c | 836.06$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 66c | 766.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.79 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 45c | 736.6$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.01 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Over | 55c | 730.51$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 47c | 719.39$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.27 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 55c | 554.28$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 530.09$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.36 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 52c | 521$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.39 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.8 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Over | 51c | 470.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e83…b22fbacked Over | 54c | 461.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.17 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 49c | 454.94$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 45c | 396.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.97 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 48c | 391.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 374$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 49c | 332$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Over | 53c | 330.19$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 296.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 48c | 286.25$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 48c | 279.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 274.93$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 48c | 257.13$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.71 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Over | 55c | 220.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 52c | 214.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 42c | 208.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 55c | 192.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 45c | 174.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 25c | 156.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Over | 50c | 118.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 115.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 54c | 101.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Under | 62c | 100.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 99.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 94.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 45c | 91.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 55c | 81.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 45c | 75.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5495…fc8cbacked Over | 47c | 64.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 80c | 62.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Over | 55c | 60.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…7579backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…eed2backed Over | 54c | 45.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca2…c234backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.