MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecdfc9185dd481774585e7758a3bd1c905df4558ed3496362a831763cbc4ccde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4738…4687backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 2,169$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 1,026$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.75 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 849.52$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 831.92$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 645.89$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.76 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 385$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 320$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 291.67$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 267.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 161.16$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 120.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Detroit Tigers | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 89.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Detroit Tigers | 23c | 85.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 78.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 77.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa648…047ebacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 76.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Atlanta Braves | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 26c | 59.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 58.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Detroit Tigers | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 43.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 35.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 34.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Detroit Tigers | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7198…4213backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 15.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Detroit Tigers | 77c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.