Europa Conference League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x384d605bbfc318dad1b033616ba95b2cc17418c1751374df9bd82dcaac77711c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 51c | 3,401$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.42 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Under | 52c | 1,388$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 48c | 1,371$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 48c | 1,333$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.16 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…1eebbacked Over | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Over | 50c | 925.97$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 896.02$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.09 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 596.8$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 49c | 523.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.87 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…8d50backed Under | 52c | 502.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Over | 47c | 425.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 53c | 415.09$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Under | 52c | 377.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 377.98$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.43 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 310.67$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 304.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 51c | 299.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef8abacked Over | 48c | 209.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 180.36$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 45c | 176.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…6cc4backed Under | 51c | 167.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 52c | 105.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 49c | 94.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Under | 46c | 92.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…2b89backed Under | 55c | 90.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 45c | 61.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 44c | 59.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Under | 56c | 50.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 57c | 23.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.