Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f510682e976026fd826a3c0c6f938bfd82e59e8d7f64c22ccb1525508984da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 48c | 30,813$14,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,826.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion | 51c | 19,776$10,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.32 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed MOUZ | 39c | 19,387$7,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,575.02 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed GamerLegion | 79c | 7,906$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.82 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed GamerLegion | 75c | 6,110$4,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.55 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 45c | 6,049$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.04 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 25c | 4,997$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.18 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed GamerLegion | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed GamerLegion | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.35 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked MOUZ | 20c | 1,870$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.43 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed GamerLegion | 46c | 1,738$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 1,456$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.39 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 1,386$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.77 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,076$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 29c | 1,066$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.32 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 980.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.38 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 33c | 976.27$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.83 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…a22abacked GamerLegion | 73c | 668.33$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed GamerLegion | 47c | 650$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed GamerLegion | 53c | 635.91$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.88 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion | 62c | 624.57$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.46 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed GamerLegion | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed GamerLegion | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked GamerLegion | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 600$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 582.72$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ | 27c | 578.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 17c | 555.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 19c | 552.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed GamerLegion | 48c | 548$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.12 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…6521backed MOUZ | 36c | 528.17$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked GamerLegion | 41c | 524.82$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed GamerLegion | 75c | 522.05$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.51 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked GamerLegion | 52c | 517.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked GamerLegion | 32c | 500$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked GamerLegion | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked GamerLegion | 32c | 500$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed GamerLegion | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…c63cbacked MOUZ | 3c | 495.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 69c | 478.37$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed MOUZ | 24c | 413.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked GamerLegion | 47c | 401$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked GamerLegion | 47c | 401$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked GamerLegion | 74c | 399.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 394.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.12 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f07…53d1backed GamerLegion | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked GamerLegion | 75c | 392.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed GamerLegion | 48c | 390$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 55c | 344.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed GamerLegion | 53c | 335.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.61 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed MOUZ | 26c | 325.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed GamerLegion | 47c | 322$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked MOUZ | 49c | 302.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GamerLegion | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed GamerLegion | 53c | 300$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed GamerLegion | 48c | 299$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked GamerLegion | 51c | 295.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed GamerLegion | 75c | 280.58$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed GamerLegion | 59c | 268.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7d…2606backed MOUZ | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MOUZ | 27c | 249.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 32c | 233.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.96 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked GamerLegion | 27c | 225$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed GamerLegion | 73c | 224.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 50c | 202.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.87 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed GamerLegion | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed GamerLegion | 48c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed GamerLegion | 48c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed GamerLegion | 48c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GamerLegion | 48c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed GamerLegion | 48c | 195$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed GamerLegion | 27c | 175$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GamerLegion | 67c | 172.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 18c | 164.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked MOUZ | 14c | 164.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 24c | 157.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…4f45backed GamerLegion | 77c | 147.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed GamerLegion | 68c | 144.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 24c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MOUZ | 16c | 133.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked MOUZ | 49c | 126.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked MOUZ | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 45c | 106.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 20c | 97.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed GamerLegion | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 87.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed GamerLegion | 70c | 85.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked GamerLegion | 74c | 82.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GamerLegion | 73c | 78.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GamerLegion | 68c | 76.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed MOUZ | 26c | 76.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.