Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32aed75bfbf853185ab41a006b9f06d740353b305a6eea279a4926d104ddec1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof MOUZ, GamerLegion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed GamerLegion | 50c | 10,917$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,487.17 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 47c | 9,537$4,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,453.68 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 49c | 7,900$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.81 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed MOUZ | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 4,779$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.67 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed GamerLegion | 76c | 3,775$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.92 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed GamerLegion | 54c | 3,636$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed GamerLegion | 78c | 3,434$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.95 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion | 48c | 3,380$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.73 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked MOUZ | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 15c | 2,933$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked MOUZ | 44c | 2,731$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.94 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 37c | 2,576$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.42 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked MOUZ | 12c | 2,517$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed GamerLegion | 49c | 2,400$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,252$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.27 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GamerLegion | 54c | 2,027$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.99 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed GamerLegion | 59c | 1,984$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.41 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,837$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.72 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 49c | 1,832$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.52 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed GamerLegion | 47c | 1,779$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 31c | 1,626$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.42 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,500$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed GamerLegion | 74c | 1,472$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed GamerLegion | 47c | 1,385$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.25 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GamerLegion | 66c | 1,356$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.99 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 1,191$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…ec3ebacked MOUZ | 4c | 1,170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked GamerLegion | 62c | 1,118$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.92 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,083$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.55 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,068$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.12 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,035$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.05 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed GamerLegion | 53c | 962.25$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.24 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked GamerLegion | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 42c | 829.66$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed GamerLegion | 62c | 720.65$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.86 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 48c | 584.26$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.13 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked MOUZ | 46c | 564$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.44 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 28c | 527.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked GamerLegion | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed GamerLegion | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion | 47c | 497.63$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.74 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed MOUZ | 49c | 491.36$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.51 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked GamerLegion | 50c | 488.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed MOUZ | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed GamerLegion | 49c | 476.47$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 50c | 423.62$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 23c | 400.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed MOUZ | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ | 51c | 397.87$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.7 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 50c | 387.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.63 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 19c | 386$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 26c | 382.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 349.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MOUZ | 36c | 342.01$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed GamerLegion | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 50c | 294.8$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed MOUZ | 16c | 276.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed MOUZ | 51c | 272.15$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked GamerLegion | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked MOUZ | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion | 53c | 227.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.77 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 52c | 224.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed GamerLegion | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.82 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked MOUZ | 49c | 195.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 41c | 175.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked MOUZ | 26c | 157.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked GamerLegion | 51c | 152.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed GamerLegion | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked MOUZ | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GamerLegion | 46c | 127.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 124.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed GamerLegion | 75c | 115.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ | 23c | 112.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed GamerLegion | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed GamerLegion | 79c | 102.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 23c | 99.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 99.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked MOUZ | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 35c | 96.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MOUZ | 38c | 95.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ | 13c | 93.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed GamerLegion | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 16c | 83.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 82.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed GamerLegion | 53c | 78.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 50c | 78.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 75.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GamerLegion | 70c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed GamerLegion | 72c | 64.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed MOUZ | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed GamerLegion | 54c | 63.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.